CEE: Probability of default on retail loans 2020

This statistics illustrates the probability of default (PD) on retail loans in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) as of the first quarter of 2020, by country. As of the first quarter of 2020, Hungary displayed the highest probability of a retail loan defaulting with 3.29 percent. Latvia had the second highest probability of default on retail loans in CEE with 2.84 percent.

Probability of default (PD) on retail loans in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) in the 1st quarter 2020, by country

Characteristic	Probability of default*
Hungary	3.29%
Latvia	2.84%
Croatia	2.43%
Bulgaria	2.43%
Slovenia	2.42%
Romania	1.78%
Poland	1.65%
Czechia	1.61%
Estonia	1.48%
Lithuania	1.47%
Slovakia	1.27%

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Release date

July 2020

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Region

CEE

Survey time period

1st quarter 2020

Supplementary notes

* Weighted average of the three quartiles.
Includes loans secured on real estate property, qualifying revolving loans and other retail loans.
The BBVA categorize probability of default as "a measure of credit rating that is assigned internally to a customer or a contract with the aim of estimating the probability of non-compliance within a year. The PD is obtained through a process using scoring and rating tools.
only includes countries with more than 3 banks reporting.

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