Brexit: getting the deal through parliament 2018 Statistic

This statistic presents the potential voting intention of the United Kingdom parliament in a vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal with the European Union, as of 2018. In order for her to get her Brexit deal through parliament, May requires at least 320 votes to secure a majority. Although May can rely on up to 235 loyalists in her own party to support her, she also needs the support of 77 other Conservative MPs who may vote against her, as well as the 10 MPs who belong to the DUP.

Predicted voting intention of the United Kingdom (UK) parliament in a vote on the Brexit deal as of 2018, by political party*

Characteristic	Conservatives	Labour	Liberal Democrat	SNP	Plaid Cymru	Greens	DUP
Voting with May	235	0	0	0	0	0	0
Marginal votes	77	25	0	0	0	0	10
Voting against May	0	230	12	35	4	1	0

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Release date

November 2018

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Region

United Kingdom

Survey time period

2018

Supplementary notes

* Statistic made based on the sources estimates for how various factions within the UK parliament may vote.

Voting with May includes the Conservative Payroll Vote (150) and Conservative Loyalsits (85).

Marginal votes include the Democratic Unionist Party (10) Labour Brexiteers (0-5) Anxious Labour (0-20) Tory europhiles (0-12) Tory Brexiteers (10-65).

Definitely voting against May includes Labour pro-Europeans (75) Labour Loyalists (155) SNP (35) Lib Dems(12) Plaid Cymru (4) Greens (1).

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