Flights - Bulgaria

  • Bulgaria
  • Bulgaria is expected to witness remarkable growth in the Flights market as projected revenue is estimated to reach US$0.70bn by 2024, with an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) of 4.35%.
  • This growth will result in a projected market volume of US$0.83bn by 2028.
  • In the same market, the estimated number of users is expected to increase to 1.56m users by 2028.
  • The user penetration rate is projected to rise from 21.9% in 2024 to 24.3% by 2028.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$0.48k.
  • By 2028, online sales are expected to account for 93% of the total revenue generated in the Flights market in Bulgaria.
  • It is worth noting that in a global comparison, China is expected to generate the highest revenue of US$136bn in 2024 in the same market.
  • Bulgaria's flight market is experiencing a surge in low-cost carriers, such as Wizz Air and Ryanair, offering affordable travel options to popular European destinations.

Key regions: Germany, China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Bulgaria has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Bulgaria have shown a growing preference for air travel due to its convenience and affordability. With increasing disposable income and a desire for travel experiences, more people are choosing to fly as their preferred mode of transportation. Additionally, the rise of low-cost carriers has made air travel more accessible to a wider range of customers, further fueling the demand for flights in Bulgaria.

Trends in the market:
One of the key trends in the Flights market in Bulgaria is the expansion of low-cost carriers. These airlines offer competitive prices and a wide range of destinations, attracting budget-conscious travelers. The increased competition among low-cost carriers has led to lower fares and more flight options for customers. This trend has also contributed to the overall growth of the market, as more people are now able to afford air travel. Another trend in the market is the growing popularity of online booking platforms. Customers in Bulgaria are increasingly using online platforms to search for and book flights, as it offers convenience and the ability to compare prices and options. This shift towards online booking has also enabled customers to access a wider range of flights and take advantage of promotional offers.

Local special circumstances:
Bulgaria's strategic location in Eastern Europe makes it an attractive destination for both business and leisure travelers. The country's rich history, natural beauty, and cultural heritage have made it a popular tourist destination in recent years. This influx of tourists has contributed to the growth of the Flights market in Bulgaria, as airlines have increased their flight offerings to meet the demand. Additionally, Bulgaria's membership in the European Union has opened up new opportunities for the aviation industry. The country has benefited from the liberalization of air transport within the EU, leading to increased competition and lower fares. This has further stimulated the demand for flights in Bulgaria.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The overall economic growth in Bulgaria has had a positive impact on the Flights market. As the economy has expanded, more people have been able to afford air travel, leading to an increase in demand for flights. The country's stable political environment and favorable investment climate have also attracted foreign airlines to operate in Bulgaria, further boosting the market. Furthermore, the development of infrastructure, such as the expansion of airports and the improvement of air traffic control systems, has facilitated the growth of the Flights market in Bulgaria. These investments have increased the capacity of airports and allowed for more efficient and seamless travel experiences, attracting both domestic and international travelers. In conclusion, the Flights market in Bulgaria has experienced significant growth due to changing customer preferences, emerging trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors. The expansion of low-cost carriers, the popularity of online booking platforms, Bulgaria's strategic location, EU membership, and overall economic growth have all contributed to the positive development of the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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