2020 Presidential election: forecasted electors by lean 2020

As of October 2020, it is forecasted that Democratic presidential candidate, former Vice President Joe Biden, will earn 279 electoral votes. 134 votes remained as a toss-up that either candidate could earn. Presidential candidates need to earn 270 Electoral College votes in order to win the presidency.

The 2020 Presidential election is set to take place on November 3, 2020.

Forecasted number of Electoral College votes earned by presidential candidates in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, by lean

Characteristic	Forecasted number of electors
Likely Democrat	216
Lean Democrat	63
Toss-up	134
Lean Republican	17
Likely Republican	108

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Release date

October 2020

More information

Region

United States

Survey time period

October 2020

Supplementary notes

The source conducted an analysis based on six potential election scenarios, and puts states into three categories:
Likely Republican or Likely Democrat: states that appear firmly behind one candidate and are unlikely to change.
Lean Republican or Lean Democrat: states that appear to favor one candidate, but remain competitive.
Toss-up: the most competitive states that either candidate has a good chance to win.

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